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Saturday 4 September 2010 |
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Research Centre |
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Euro Economy & Financial Markets
There are 22 Research Centre articles available in this category. Please select the required article from those listed below:
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EU ACCESSION
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| Ahead of EU enlargement on 1 May, this presentation outlines the economies of the 10 accession countries, their prospects forentry into the single currency and recent FX trends.
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German Economy Faces Long Term Adjustment
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| There is an underlying assumption that if and when a war with Iraq is concluded successsfully there will be a turnaround in financial market sentiment and economic performance. This is by no means guaranteed
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Steady Rates in Europe and UK
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| The governing councils of the ECB and the Bank of England both elected to leave interest rates unchanged at their respective policy meetings this week.
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Monthly Market Focus January 2002
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| This is a new look Monthly Market Focus containing our latest interest rate and exchange rate forecasts, along with our view on the Irish economy.
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ECB Signals “No Change” Yet
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| It would be difficult to find anyone who would argue against the need for further easing of monetary policy in the eurozone. The timing of such reductions however, is as always, the subject of much debate and speculation will be intense in the run up to this week’s meeting.
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Monthly Market Focus September/October 2001
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| Our latest economic and currency forecasts, post the terrorist attack on the US.
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ECB Finally Delivers
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| After months of watching and waiting the ECB delivered it’s second interest rate cut of the year at last Thursday’s policy meeting. The moved reduced the refi rate to 4.25%.
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ECB Has Market on Tenterhooks
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| The ECB meets for the first time in nearly a month on Thursday. Expectations for a rate cut, the first since May, are running high. Over the last month conditions certainly have moved in favour of easing.
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Investment Flows Move In Euro’s Direction
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| European Central Bank financial account data for June show that net inflows of direct and portfolio investments to the euro zone swung into positive territory for the first month this year.
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ECB Sounds Note of Caution on Eurozone
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| With inflation decreasing and economic growth falling, an ECB rate cut of 0.25%, possibly as early as its meeting on 30 August, looks increasingly likely.
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Fall in Eurozone Inflation Won’t Hasten Rate Easing
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| Eurozone inflation dropped to 3.0% (y-on-y) in May, easing back from the 3.4% eight year high that its reached in May and reversing the rising trend seen since February. On a month-on-month basis consumer prices rose by 0.1%.
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Outlook for Eurozone Interest Rates
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| “And this current monetary policy stance remains appropriate.....for some time to come”. The ECB’s decision to leave interest rates on hold was a disastrous one for the euro, which now faces the prospect that rates will not be cut until after the central bank’s summer recess.
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ECB MUST ABANDON POLICY OF NEGLECT
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| The ECB remains on the sidelines as the euro falls to levels on a trade weighted basis last seen before intervention in September 2000.
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Eurozone Chart Book
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| Key iIndicators and survey show that economic activity in the eurozone is slowing with GDP growth for 2001 expected to come in at 2.5%, down from last years 3.4%
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Why The ECB Is Delaying Eurozone Rate Cuts
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| The ECB has stood alone amongst the major world economies in refusing to sanction an easing of monetary policy. In its statements, press conferences and monthly bulletins the central bank has defended its refusal to cut interest rates, a decision that has brought repeated criticism from the US administration, the IMF and European politicians, businesses and trade unions.
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MONTHLY MARKET FOCUS MARCH/APRIL 2001
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| Our Monthly Market Focus for March/April 2001 contains our latest interest rate and exchange rate forecasts.
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INTERNATIONAL INTEREST RATE OUTLOOK
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| This is the International Interest Rate Outlook section of our latest Quarterly Economic Focus, Autumn 2000
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EXCHANGE RATE PROSPECTS
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| This is the Exchange Rate section of our latest Quarterly Economic Focus, Autumn 2000.
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ECB RAISES RATES BY 0.25%
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| The ECB surprised the markets with an earlier than expected 0.25% rise in the refinancing rate.
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PMI Underpins Eurozone Recovery Story
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| The euro's rapid decline against other major currencies is not all bad news with eurozone manufacturers enjoying the strongest pace of growth in nearly 3 years in April.
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EU Commission Forecasts
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| Some of the key forecasts for the euro area contained in yesterdays EU commission report are set out below.
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Poland Moves to Free Floating Currency
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| The National Bank of Poland announced on 11 April that it is removing the remaining restrictions on zloty trading, allowing it to float freely on foreign exchange markets.
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